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Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🪙Bearish or Bullish

BTC/USD

Bitcoin continues to consolidate between the Yellow and Orange bands on the 4-hour FibMa, with price currently positioned mid-range. This type of compression often precedes a volatility spike, so the focus this week is on targeted local levels for support and resistance, as we anticipate either band being tested soon.

In the short term, we’re tracking a local descending trend. A break above it could mark a shift toward bullish continuation, while further weakness would put emphasis on watching for support around the L4 and LD BB levels.

BTC BB Levels (Bull/Bear)

• HD: $125,183

• H4: $119,583

• BB: $117,220

• L4: $115,110

• LD: $109,494

  If weakness persists this week, watch the L4 & LD zone closely for signs of buyer defense. A move above $119.5k and the descending channel would open the door for another attempt at higher levels.

  

  ETH/USD

  Ethereum continues to perform strongly after reclaiming the weekly FibMa Blue band, a level we’ve long viewed as a key signal for the end of accumulation this cycle. Since that breakout, ETH has sustained momentum and is now approaching the 2024 range high ($4,090), a structurally significant level that may act as a temporary pause or resistance zone.

  We’re entering a phase where pullbacks into support could offer higher probability long setups, but upside may briefly stall near resistance until more confirmation builds.

  

  ETH/BTC

  ETH/BTC posted an explosive 28.33% rally last week, launching price directly into a key resistance level at 0.03191. This level now becomes the next major battleground. A clean breakout here would solidify ETH leadership in this cycle phase.

  While short-term cooling is possible at resistance, I still expect ETH to outperform BTC over the coming months. ETH Season is likely in full swing, even if we see brief pauses along the way.

  BTC Dominance + Broader Alt Market (Total3/BTC, Others/BTC, Total3/ETH)

  Last week, BTC Dominance saw a sharp drop, bringing it to the lower bound of its long-term ascending channel. This move appears to be largely driven by ETH’s rising dominance, which has begun pushing higher from its multi-month range lows.

  At the same time, the broader alt market (Total3/BTC, Others/BTC) experienced strong rallies against BTC. But when measured against ETH (Total3/ETH), the picture changes: ETH is currently dominating the altcoin landscape.

  This divergence signals the early phases of ETH Season. Many alts may continue to rally against BTC, but outperformance vs ETH remains unlikely during this phase. True Alt Season, where alts outperform both BTC and ETH, is likely a few months away, potentially aligning with a September/October monetary policy shift.

  For now, expect rotational opportunities, but broad outperformance across alts likely requires looser monetary policy.

  

  Market News Events to Watch

  Wednesday

  • Existing Home Sales MoM: Expected -0.7% | Prior 0.8%

  Thursday

  • Initial Jobless Claims: Expected 228k | Prior 221k

  • New Home Sales MoM: Expected 10% | Prior -13.7%

  Friday

  • Durable Goods Orders ex-Defense MoM: Expected -6% | Prior 15.5%

  If data aligns with expectations and avoids negative surprises, expect risk-on continuation. But if numbers miss, markets may take a defensive stance as we head into August.

  Final Thoughts

  Markets are clearly transitioning into a new phase of the cycle. BTC remains consolidative, ETH is asserting strength, and ETH dominance is starting to shift the broader structure. While altcoins are bouncing, the smart rotation appears to be into ETH, not the broader alt market… YET.

🐸Memecoin Momentum

AHHHHH THE EUPHORIA!! IS IT REAL? IS IT HERE TO STAY? My answers are simple….. who cares enjoy the moment!!

Trenches haven’t looked this good in months. As previously stated, mid to long term convictions in bags was the play all along. Did you believe anon? Or did you sell the bottom?

It feels like tokens are coming back from the dead, but they’ve always been around. Community tokens are all but a real thing, and the communities that survived the brutal months are now thriving.

$PYTHIA, is one great example. The token is melting faces as it rips past 100m MC. All the non believers, are now in disbelief that a token based for real science and tech is thriving.

$UFD is another community token that made an amazing comeback. Currently sitting around 40-43M MC, it shows signs of new life. Ron is the first creator based token that took CT by storm, and he hasn’t stopped regardless of the bear market. It’s good to see him winning in this market.

Other community tokens like, $MOG, $PEPE, $FARTCOIN are also in the race, giving their holders major returns after significant increases in their MC.

In other trench news, Mobyscreener.com, a replacement for dexscreener, is gaining more and more active users. FINALLY SOMETHING IS HERE TO REPLACE DEX!! As an avid trencher, I couldn’t be happier. Asset Dash has hinted rewards for using this platform. So looks like MobyScreener could be the next big thing. If you haven’t heard of asset dash, and their tools…. Are you really trenching?

$PUMP token did exactly what every TGE does. So not going to talk too much about it. It got launched, it tanked, and now we move on… will there be an airdrop? No clue… hopefully people still invested get a win out of this one.

🤑Airdrop Alpha

Meteora Announces Snapshot
The long-awaited Meteora airdrop is finally on the way, as the team made major announcements regarding snapshot and future seasons.

Let's dive into the details and my thoughts around the imminent TGE:
https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1946222858839130556

$PUMP Airdrop Soon?

Wild circulation of rumors around CT that $PUMP might airdrop on 24 July, after co-founder a1lon9 posted an image of 31 pills, which many took as a cryptic hint towards a 24 Jul airdrop date.

This is just a rumor, but it seems markets are reacting to this, as the FDV of $PUMP is trading below the ICO FDV of $4B, as their market share continue to slide against Bonk Fun.

Personally, I have been highly skeptical of the $PUMP ICO and launch, which you can read more here:
https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1946472821963784377

$BONK Spot coming soon to HyperLiquid?

The ticker $uBONK was purchased by HyperUnit for 858 $HYPE (~$38K) via HyperLiquid ticker auctions. Is $BONK coming to HyperLiquid Spot soon?

If so, it will be a good opportunity to farm HyperUnit by depositing $BONK on HyperLiquid or better yet, farm Liminal Money as a 2-in-1 and earn real yield from funding rates when $BONK is added.

100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime