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Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🪙Bearish or Bullish

BTC/USD

Last week, Bitcoin rallied up toward the Yellow band (~109,300) but has so far failed to reclaim it as support. If this level continues to act as resistance, we could see another retest of lower valuations, particularly the mid to lower range BB levels outlined below. As always, maintaining structure above key levels is critical to sustaining the broader uptrend.

Weekly BTC BB Levels (Bull/Bear)

• HD: $115,660

• H4: $110,490

• BB: $108,389

• L4: $106,295

• LD: $101,175

ETH/USD

Short term, ETH remains range bound between $2,325 and $2,740. After a brief test of the range high last week, price has since fallen back inside, leaving us once again watching these levels for directional resolution.

Long term, ETH continues to trade below the Blue band on the weekly FibMA (~$2,687), which has historically marked the transition out of accumulation zones. Until this band is confidently reclaimed, the longer term bullish structure for ETH remains unconfirmed.

ETH/BTC

ETH/BTC is consolidating within the 0.026 – 0.0225 range. If the range holds, we may be seeing the early stages of a relative strength shift, positioning ETH to outperform BTC over the next quarter. However, if the range lows break down, a retest of the cycle lows is likely before any structural reversal can form.

Broader Alt Market & BTC Dominance

BTC Dominance continues to trend upward, reaching new cycle highs, with no signs of reversal yet. As long as Quantitative Tightening (QT) remains in place, BTC will likely continue to outperform both ETH and the broader altcoin market.

The Total3/BTC and Others/BTC charts remain near their cycle lows, reflecting broad weakness across mid and small cap altcoins. Without a macro catalyst (i.e., the end of QT), these valuations remain at risk of sweeping new lows. That said, once monetary conditions begin to ease, we may be entering one of the most compelling accumulation zones of the cycle.

S&P 500

The S&P printed a new all-time high (ATH) last week, but it will be critical for price to hold support around $6,145 in the short to medium term. Continuation from here would help reinforce risk on sentiment across broader markets, including crypto.

Market News to Watch

This week features key labor data, which could influence macro risk sentiment across markets. 

• Tuesday:

  • JOLTS Job Openings (June): Expected 7.3M | Prior 7.391M

• Wednesday:

  • ADP Employment Change (June): Expected 85K | Prior 37K

• Thursday:

  • Initial Jobless Claims: Expected 240K | Prior 236K

  • Unemployment Rate: Expected 4.3% | Prior 4.2%

If labor data surprises to the downside, it could revive rate cut speculation especially as market participants continue to bet on a shift away from QT later this year.

Final Thoughts

Patience remains key through the summer months. This phase may continue to test market conviction, particularly in altcoins. But with many assets near or at cycle lows, and macro policy pivot expectations building into September, this may also be the last major opportunity for accumulation. When the tide turns, it's equally important to begin shifting from a bullish bias to one that prioritizes risk management and profit taking, as the next cycle phase begins to take shape.

🐸Memecoin Momentum

Conviction has been the motto the past two weeks. The market saw a lot of red the week before but this week, we seem to be healing.. and with healing comes some heavy buys!

First and foremost, we have to put a spotlight on $GOR… this memecoin came from left field and left most of CT shocked. With ATH hitting 58M within 24 hours of launch, it’s currently sitting at 18M. Don’t want to speak too early but I think $GOR is here to stay.

Moonshot recently launched their own version of pump fun using Apple Pay, called MOONSHOT CREATE. Newest launch pad that caused quite a stir. We saw major liquidity flow into tokens created on moonshot the first day such as $MONKEPHONE… however it didn’t last long. Will this become another weekly hype moment that slowly fades away, or is Moonshot Create here to stay? In due time, we’ll find out.

Asset dash launched their own version of dexscreener last month, MobyScreener.com. The website uses smart algo, and innovative tools such as “degen mode,” to help traders locate better opportunities. No more honey pots trending in the top 10!! The algo for this website blocks such tokens from trending. In my opinion this is GUD TEK, aka TECHNOLOGIA!!!

Using AssetDash and its tools, I dug into whale activities this past week. As I said before conviction is the motto for this past month. In other words, whales continue to accumulate, while the rest of CT panics.

$USELESS saw crazy gains in the last few days.  With ATH hitting above 220M recently, the coin is currently sitting at 190M. When it comes to gains, $USELESS is the definite winner of the week.

$Pengu also went up over 101% this week. Currently sitting at 1.1B MC, with the token price at .0146. $Pengu seems to have a strong momentum behind them. With proper patterns forming, could July be the big month for $Pengu to take off on its flightless journey?

$Hosico, $Aura, $Labubu, $Moonpig, $House, $Fartcoin, $Chillhouse are a few other tokens drawing the CT’s attention, with major whale buys for each of them. I think we will see each of these tokens have their moment in the sun in the coming days…. Which one is your favorite? And which ones do you plan to bid on?

🤑Airdrop Alpha

Fragmetric IDO and Airdrop Claim
Fragmetric successfully raised USD $360K via ByReal (a Solana DEX by ByBit) Reset Launch. The IDO 22x oversubscribed from just 5505 participants:
https://x.com/byreal_io/status/1939952629217382908

If you had a whitelisted wallet and participanted, $FRAG claims and $bbSOL refunds can be claimed NOW and the token is now tradeable with NO vesting.

Airdrop claims are also live, and will continue to be for 30 days: https://airdrop.fragmetric.xyz/

DeFiTuna Airdrop Checker is live

If you lent out tokens or provided liquidity on DeFiTuna, then you could be eligible for their upcoming airdrop, which is expected some time in July.

100% of their revenue will be shared with $TUNA stakers. Check their official tweet here:
https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1938565973990359210

Harmonix Finance $HYPE Vault Live

After 50+ days of stress-testing and on-chain refinement, the $HYPE Vault by Harmonix Finance is now live on Mainnet and offering:

- 9% Target APY, a top $HYPE yield across HyperEVM.
- 3x Harmonix Points, Felix and HyperLend Points

The cap was filled within 1 hour! They plan to increase the cap gradually to 3–5 million TVL in July and August and to 10 million TVL in September. After that, the cap will remain in place until further notice, so stay tuned!

You can join Harmonix here: https://app.harmonix.fi/?ref=XiKKflB8

100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime