Fidelity’s National Financial Services, BlackRock’s crypto ETF inflows, Vanguard anti-crypto stance,

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Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🪙Bearish or Bullish

BTC/USD

Bitcoin kicked off the week by extending into price discovery, briefly tapping the Orange band (~$123,700) on the 4H FibMa before facing resistance. This kind of reaction, testing prior breakout levels, is to be expected after major expansions, and backtests are often constructive.

As the week continues, the key pivot will be the weekly open and BB level (~$119,140). If BTC can hold this region as support, it may fuel another leg higher. However, if price dips below, watch for a reclaim and hold to serve as renewed confirmation for bullish continuation.

Remember: as price climbs through higher bands, risk increases. These bands help contextualize volatility and where we are in the current cycle.

BTC Bull/Bear Levels

• HD: $127,135

• H4: $121,437

• BB (Weekly Open): $119,140

• L4: $116,849

• LD: $111,160

  

  ETH/USD

  After months of range bound movement and hovering below key structural resistance, ETH has officially closed above the Blue band on the weekly FibMa, a level we’ve long viewed as the trigger for ending the accumulation phase of this cycle.

  From here, a backtest of the Blue band in the coming weeks/months would not be surprising. If that test holds, it may present one final major buying opportunity, a “cycle gift” for those who missed the lows. Structurally and historically, this sets the stage for ETH to enter a leadership role in the next phase of the market.

  

  ETH/BTC

  The last component needed for ETH Season to truly begin is a breakout in ETH/BTC. For now, ETH continues to consolidate in the 0.026–0.02245 range, managing to keep pace with BTC as it continues its price discovery.

  A breakout above this range, particularly above 0.026, would mark the start of ETH's outperformance relative to BTC. Until then, ETH is strong and stable, but not yet leading.

  BTC Dominance + Broader Alt Market

  Despite BTC printing new ATHs this past week, BTC Dominance saw a modest pullback, as capital rotated into select altcoins. This isn’t unexpected and may represent a local lower high for alts—or conversely, a higher low for BTC Dominance.

  My base case remains: BTC Dominance will likely continue trending higher until either or both:

  1. A clear ETH/BTC breakout occurs

  2. The Fed signals the end of QT (most likely in or after September)

  Total3/BTC + Others/BTC

  • The broader altcoin market remains near cycle lows against BTC.

  • While recent gains are encouraging, two key conditions are still unmet before a true alt season can begin:

    1. Monetary policy must pivot (i.e. QT ends, rate cuts begin)

    2. ETH must begin outperforming BTC consistently

  Until then, alts are still likely to underperform, particularly as both BTC and ETH move into more dominant roles.

  

  Macro + Market News to Watch

  Tuesday – Major Inflation Print

  • CPI (YoY, June): Expected 2.6% | Prior 2.4%

  • Core CPI (YoY): Expected 3.0% | Prior 2.8%

  Wednesday

  • PPI (MoM, June): Expected 0.2% | Prior 0.1%

  Thursday

  • Initial Jobless Claims: Expected 234K | Prior 227K

  Friday

  • Retail Sales (MoM, June): Expected 0.1% | Prior -0.9%

🤑Airdrop Alpha

Liminal Money Adds $PUMP
The $PUMP launch was all over the timeline in the past week. Shortly following the $PUMP TGE, Liminal Money announced that they’ve added support for $PUMP:
https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1944830340180402659

This is a welcome addition as the funding rates of $PUMP on Hyperliquid has been insane at 200-300% APY as the bulls are paying very high fees to the shorts to speculate on the price of the token. The CAP was set at $5M and this was filled within 15 mins, but they seem to have plans to increase the cap:
https://x.com/InternLiminal/status/1944831719296696369

If you want in, be sure to pay attention to the announcements or the Liminal dashboard!

WalletConnect $WCT Airdrop Claimable

WalletConnect’s token $WCT launches on Solana, and is now claimable via:
https://solana.walletconnect.network/

If you are a $JUP staker and have voted on all proposals, then you are eligible. There are other ways to be eligible such as Solana Seeker buyers, Phantom users, and Backpack traders. Full list of eligibility is available here: https://x.com/WalletConnect/status/1942592359608508544

Get Ready for kHYPE

Kinetiq is the institutional-grade liquid staking protocol on HyperLiquid that is set to launch on HyperEVM Mainnet on 15 July.

Many $HYPE whales are unstaking their natively staked $HYPE on HyperCore to jump onto their liquid staking solution when it launches.

Many popular protocols such as Felix, HyperLend and HyperSwap have announced they will be supporting Kinetiq’s LST, $kHYPE, on Day 1.

This could be a good protocol to farm points by making use of its LST $kHYPE to lego farm, such as: Lend $kHYPE, borrow stables, and deposit onto Liminal Money to earn funding fees.

Official announcement here:
https://x.com/kinetiq_xyz/status/1942228150278086842

100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime